Counting responses
80%12 supporting responses out of 15
SHIRO & Co. · Consensus Laundering Observatory
日本語This is a research illustration using deterministic synthetic data. It does not measure real people's opinions, public sentiment, or real-world AI actions.
Do twelve responses from the same AI amount to twelve independent opinions?
Here, “twelve” refers to twelve supporting responses in a deterministic synthetic fixture—a fixed test dataset. These are not measurements from twelve actual AI model calls.
12 supporting responses out of 15
1 supporting origin out of 4
Synthetic fixture: twelve supporting responses share one origin; three opposing responses each have a different origin. Support is 12/15 = 80% by responses, and 1/4 = 25% by origins.
This is a research illustration using deterministic synthetic data. It does not measure real people's opinions, public sentiment, or real-world AI actions.
01
We constructed fifteen fictional responses. Twelve support the proposal when counted individually. Trace where they came from, however, and only one of four origins supports it. This example shows how a majority can disappear when the unit of counting changes.
02
Responses that look separate may derive from the same source. More responses do not necessarily mean more independent evidence. This deliberately constructed example illustrates that distinction; it does not claim to discover a new real-world phenomenon.
03
N1–N3 retain the same response units and positions; only origin structure changes. N0 is a single-response baseline. The opening majority-collapse example is a separate additional fixture.
04
Support share is SUPPORT / (SUPPORT + OPPOSE). Abstaining, mixed and missing positions are excluded from that denominator. N/A means there are no decisive positions to calculate a share.
| Condition / fixture | Responses | Raw support | Deduplicated | Synthetic independent | Provenance coverage | Synthetic groups |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N0 · Single Agent population-n0 | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 |
| N1 · Same-Origin Population population-n1 | 4 | 75.0% | N/A | N/A | 100.0% | 1 |
| N2 · Multi-Origin Comparison population-n2 | 4 | 75.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 100.0% | 4 |
| N3 · Missing Provenance population-n3 | 4 | 75.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 0 |
| Additional fixture majority-collapse | 15 | 80.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 100.0% | 4 |
| Additional fixture independent-support | 4 | 75.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 100.0% | 4 |
| Additional fixture unknown-origin | 3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 0 |
| Additional fixture mixed-root | 5 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 3 |
| Additional fixture missing-stance | 3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 3 |
| Additional fixture shared-dependency | 3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 |
Provenance coverage is the fraction of responses with a resolvable origin record. Even 100% does not establish independence or truth. Synthetic independence groups are fixture definitions, not independent human evidence.
05
Three representative assessments
The raw majority disappears after origins are counted once. Independent synthetic support is 1 to 3, yielding simulated DENY.
DENY · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
NO_INDEPENDENT_SUPPORT_MAJORITY
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 12,
"oppose": 3,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.8,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 3,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.25,
"majority": false
},
"independent": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 3,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.25,
"majority": false
}
}Fixture SHA-256: 0d64d361f2a13a4330d3a279c0bbf776c4cd618f5c1177c2023d85ee6f9b1335
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "majority-collapse",
"fingerprint": "0d64d361f2a13a4330d3a279c0bbf776c4cd618f5c1177c2023d85ee6f9b1335",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "DENY",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "1297d2fc8eb5c768c49b0980db43c98cf942101a9340dcb54c773dfc108a44e1"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "majority-collapse",
"fingerprint": "0d64d361f2a13a4330d3a279c0bbf776c4cd618f5c1177c2023d85ee6f9b1335",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "1297d2fc8eb5c768c49b0980db43c98cf942101a9340dcb54c773dfc108a44e1",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "DENY",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "f6f868e575c61ff0153f38873fecb9924055b2fbc0e206cfdde11a35caa7807f"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "NO_INDEPENDENT_SUPPORT_MAJORITY",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "majority-collapse",
"fingerprint": "0d64d361f2a13a4330d3a279c0bbf776c4cd618f5c1177c2023d85ee6f9b1335",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "f6f868e575c61ff0153f38873fecb9924055b2fbc0e206cfdde11a35caa7807f",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "DENY",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "867e5e9c03cf060acec968db26cf08773cb5ff26775b47b91a7d54c658bba8dc"
}
]Three independent synthetic origins support and one opposes, satisfying the research policy. ALLOW still authorizes no external action.
ALLOW · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
Synthetic fixture conditions satisfied. Not an authorization for external action.
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
INDEPENDENT_SUPPORT_MAJORITY
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
}
}Fixture SHA-256: 75504fef3f60f9c54c1c9a14bb71d1033f566b2fc781d7c3e1cadb88259f60bb
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "independent-support",
"fingerprint": "75504fef3f60f9c54c1c9a14bb71d1033f566b2fc781d7c3e1cadb88259f60bb",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "ALLOW",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "21d274ae5fa222c74f281f74bd468db3734215c2f347f3a8cab2fbff83be2285"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "independent-support",
"fingerprint": "75504fef3f60f9c54c1c9a14bb71d1033f566b2fc781d7c3e1cadb88259f60bb",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "21d274ae5fa222c74f281f74bd468db3734215c2f347f3a8cab2fbff83be2285",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "ALLOW",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "6afce4c2f998cb8555c9f400fe1bfaa9b12232ab93bd23a41d288a573c308165"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "INDEPENDENT_SUPPORT_MAJORITY",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "independent-support",
"fingerprint": "75504fef3f60f9c54c1c9a14bb71d1033f566b2fc781d7c3e1cadb88259f60bb",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "6afce4c2f998cb8555c9f400fe1bfaa9b12232ab93bd23a41d288a573c308165",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "ALLOW",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "2234af88120893f3922ffacc3ebf4275219edb1ab3fc23fb8159944d2c919d8f"
}
]Provenance coverage is 100%, but independence is unverified. These origins add no independent support and the assessment stays HOLD.
HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
UNVERIFIABLE_ORIGIN
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 0,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": null,
"majority": false
}
}Fixture SHA-256: 832f0ab09632000c9360133fc58919cd208b1f1bb9a49bd0fad0afd46028f21e
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "unknown-origin",
"fingerprint": "832f0ab09632000c9360133fc58919cd208b1f1bb9a49bd0fad0afd46028f21e",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "4679c7b9c9baa59c26f6d85231fb19d6e8e24a350ea6e7a1cfe354f569a483f9"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "unknown-origin",
"fingerprint": "832f0ab09632000c9360133fc58919cd208b1f1bb9a49bd0fad0afd46028f21e",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "4679c7b9c9baa59c26f6d85231fb19d6e8e24a350ea6e7a1cfe354f569a483f9",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "dd42dd0b453311fae708a9f95eb33e09292f8ab863e708e9948165949d431200"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "UNVERIFIABLE_ORIGIN",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "unknown-origin",
"fingerprint": "832f0ab09632000c9360133fc58919cd208b1f1bb9a49bd0fad0afd46028f21e",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "dd42dd0b453311fae708a9f95eb33e09292f8ab863e708e9948165949d431200",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "233d22d8f27d3b198b36b27f1c510583ab79fa308024f613a915ab92062854d6"
}
]HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
INSUFFICIENT_INDEPENDENCE
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
}
}Fixture SHA-256: 9571c8f912c28d48a382f16417c00de849ebedd4c4873104da606235bd714b1b
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n0",
"fingerprint": "9571c8f912c28d48a382f16417c00de849ebedd4c4873104da606235bd714b1b",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "6c153e745095ed3284e3b5ff39291efbcd2f9a679170c12e70ea48c032e4c348"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n0",
"fingerprint": "9571c8f912c28d48a382f16417c00de849ebedd4c4873104da606235bd714b1b",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "6c153e745095ed3284e3b5ff39291efbcd2f9a679170c12e70ea48c032e4c348",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "f1c2db6ca592a0b6d611892253c8b3332b2a2d9061539df9d7771cf220b26778"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "INSUFFICIENT_INDEPENDENCE",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n0",
"fingerprint": "9571c8f912c28d48a382f16417c00de849ebedd4c4873104da606235bd714b1b",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "f1c2db6ca592a0b6d611892253c8b3332b2a2d9061539df9d7771cf220b26778",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "43d76b1682e05daff80a496b4fc60d012d62a7ca4efb4b970c1b4e3b08c91b56"
}
]HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
AMBIGUOUS_OR_MISSING_STANCE
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 0,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 1,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": null,
"majority": false
},
"independent": {
"support": 0,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 1,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": null,
"majority": false
}
}Fixture SHA-256: e898c322f1ee81387395136a0539a7c464f4f748cfd2a854e38950458aa758d6
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n1",
"fingerprint": "e898c322f1ee81387395136a0539a7c464f4f748cfd2a854e38950458aa758d6",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "5d0840a2168531139b9b674194fa554fb96bb75776df8b18939262acbc19b3fc"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n1",
"fingerprint": "e898c322f1ee81387395136a0539a7c464f4f748cfd2a854e38950458aa758d6",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "5d0840a2168531139b9b674194fa554fb96bb75776df8b18939262acbc19b3fc",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "d681e2ff76948cbd46c65ae97b926f363aa309357472f44da79116a05663bfe6"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "AMBIGUOUS_OR_MISSING_STANCE",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n1",
"fingerprint": "e898c322f1ee81387395136a0539a7c464f4f748cfd2a854e38950458aa758d6",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "d681e2ff76948cbd46c65ae97b926f363aa309357472f44da79116a05663bfe6",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "6e56b78fed866ad281de3c63a1e60a1321ff59d644632ae452418bf9600ee7b9"
}
]ALLOW · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
Synthetic fixture conditions satisfied. Not an authorization for external action.
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
INDEPENDENT_SUPPORT_MAJORITY
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
}
}Fixture SHA-256: c295f176d761ad92ca5277188e6d421053c90eda07bc07cbf08ec92d246aecff
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n2",
"fingerprint": "c295f176d761ad92ca5277188e6d421053c90eda07bc07cbf08ec92d246aecff",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "ALLOW",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "f3237a0854b7109a64a7d211e736ea6cb5f99f29521efb1faf02591a694c72a3"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n2",
"fingerprint": "c295f176d761ad92ca5277188e6d421053c90eda07bc07cbf08ec92d246aecff",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "f3237a0854b7109a64a7d211e736ea6cb5f99f29521efb1faf02591a694c72a3",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "ALLOW",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "30790f491f2089bf838dc5514e8d0baa254c038650b00195aacee0c5ed63ea78"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "INDEPENDENT_SUPPORT_MAJORITY",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n2",
"fingerprint": "c295f176d761ad92ca5277188e6d421053c90eda07bc07cbf08ec92d246aecff",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "30790f491f2089bf838dc5514e8d0baa254c038650b00195aacee0c5ed63ea78",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "ALLOW",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "aa9c4c8973d4be8e90b3402cf6905632e23bec23796657cdf7ad30dc8a269cd6"
}
]HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
UNVERIFIABLE_ORIGIN
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 0,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": null,
"majority": false
},
"independent": {
"support": 0,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": null,
"majority": false
}
}Fixture SHA-256: f18aa8d0137dc1d24bf97463f4c75186b7e77e0841acdf03d8880ddad33e750a
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n3",
"fingerprint": "f18aa8d0137dc1d24bf97463f4c75186b7e77e0841acdf03d8880ddad33e750a",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "f369214c777381ca85639d08acfddd420f55946fd934bc09f48a0aade6567a35"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n3",
"fingerprint": "f18aa8d0137dc1d24bf97463f4c75186b7e77e0841acdf03d8880ddad33e750a",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "f369214c777381ca85639d08acfddd420f55946fd934bc09f48a0aade6567a35",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "175ec1bb5e13c0bd1925a8664e7ebc9eeec62a27935fbf9e2a2007611441a870"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "UNVERIFIABLE_ORIGIN",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "population-n3",
"fingerprint": "f18aa8d0137dc1d24bf97463f4c75186b7e77e0841acdf03d8880ddad33e750a",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "175ec1bb5e13c0bd1925a8664e7ebc9eeec62a27935fbf9e2a2007611441a870",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "bcc663c976047c7010570965a19e0accfbb479be30b1f8d0fb22accfa2962d00"
}
]HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
AMBIGUOUS_OR_MISSING_STANCE
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 1,
"abstain": 1,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 0.75,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 1,
"mixed": 1,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 1,
"mixed": 1,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
}
}Fixture SHA-256: 200229e9c681093ab4cab1f149db84e11335f51033954cf18c368334b3292ac9
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "mixed-root",
"fingerprint": "200229e9c681093ab4cab1f149db84e11335f51033954cf18c368334b3292ac9",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "b4e1e7120415312e05b45aeabfb5a1c4f5ee37776eae7ea2622b218cb2cd8683"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "mixed-root",
"fingerprint": "200229e9c681093ab4cab1f149db84e11335f51033954cf18c368334b3292ac9",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "b4e1e7120415312e05b45aeabfb5a1c4f5ee37776eae7ea2622b218cb2cd8683",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "93cd071ed71162666a44a7cdd16e2f2459012e30b75fa2d9e319acb35680b4b5"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "AMBIGUOUS_OR_MISSING_STANCE",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "mixed-root",
"fingerprint": "200229e9c681093ab4cab1f149db84e11335f51033954cf18c368334b3292ac9",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "93cd071ed71162666a44a7cdd16e2f2459012e30b75fa2d9e319acb35680b4b5",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "314b122453bbbc2d454928ab25c4a38b0724b44f1fd6c1a4b84c895ba8af21b6"
}
]HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
AMBIGUOUS_OR_MISSING_STANCE
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 1,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 1,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 1,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 1,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 1,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 1,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
}
}Fixture SHA-256: 37841c82e21f585bceb87494546ec6fa34622b5419694775f2efb2a13d244ca8
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "missing-stance",
"fingerprint": "37841c82e21f585bceb87494546ec6fa34622b5419694775f2efb2a13d244ca8",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "59a8ba59943998170644d9bb66ce168e208d9dd92b7aac8630873d1d4c1b8685"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "missing-stance",
"fingerprint": "37841c82e21f585bceb87494546ec6fa34622b5419694775f2efb2a13d244ca8",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "59a8ba59943998170644d9bb66ce168e208d9dd92b7aac8630873d1d4c1b8685",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "dc9efed2957179e5f50bf2116618e5ee434861b07e99f70e690bc3f598ba31ac"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "AMBIGUOUS_OR_MISSING_STANCE",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "missing-stance",
"fingerprint": "37841c82e21f585bceb87494546ec6fa34622b5419694775f2efb2a13d244ca8",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "dc9efed2957179e5f50bf2116618e5ee434861b07e99f70e690bc3f598ba31ac",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "0b6897d3ab665eab098602e7a4c9f282d24d693ac9669532e431549d14f51e1d"
}
]HOLD · Scope: synthetic consensus only
SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY
External Execution Authorization: NOT AUTHORIZED
Execution Status: NOT EXECUTED
INSUFFICIENT_INDEPENDENCE
Counts: support, oppose, abstain, mixed, missing
{
"raw": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"deduplicated": {
"support": 3,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
},
"independent": {
"support": 1,
"oppose": 0,
"abstain": 0,
"mixed": 0,
"missing": 0,
"supportShare": 1,
"majority": true
}
}Fixture SHA-256: e697d38a1acdd059ae19f001dde7940d7025983eedcbae1926dca035ecf141f2
Audit of synthetic assessments at fixed logical times
[
{
"kind": "FIXTURE_LOADED",
"reason": "DETERMINISTIC_SYNTHETIC_INPUT",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 0,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z",
"fixtureId": "shared-dependency",
"fingerprint": "e697d38a1acdd059ae19f001dde7940d7025983eedcbae1926dca035ecf141f2",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": null,
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "68652841e91d4d7d75504d9ca04d2ed3c5fc2bebd3ac06ef4838298e26cba43a"
},
{
"kind": "AGGREGATED",
"reason": "ROOTS_AND_DEPENDENCY_GROUPS_COLLAPSED",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 1,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:01.000Z",
"fixtureId": "shared-dependency",
"fingerprint": "e697d38a1acdd059ae19f001dde7940d7025983eedcbae1926dca035ecf141f2",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "68652841e91d4d7d75504d9ca04d2ed3c5fc2bebd3ac06ef4838298e26cba43a",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "0827b276b0d3ef75be9bb1ae9f0d375a71877cc1ae4129715821aa6e1f4ab2bb"
},
{
"kind": "BOUNDARY_ASSESSED",
"reason": "INSUFFICIENT_INDEPENDENCE",
"namespace": "consensus_local_research",
"sequence": 2,
"at": "2026-01-01T00:00:02.000Z",
"fixtureId": "shared-dependency",
"fingerprint": "e697d38a1acdd059ae19f001dde7940d7025983eedcbae1926dca035ecf141f2",
"policyHash": "4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06",
"previousHash": "0827b276b0d3ef75be9bb1ae9f0d375a71877cc1ae4129715821aa6e1f4ab2bb",
"simulatedBoundaryDecision": "HOLD",
"decisionScope": "SYNTHETIC_CONSENSUS_ONLY",
"executionAuthorization": {
"externalExecutionAuthorized": false,
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"authorizationSource": "NONE",
"realWorldEffect": "NONE"
},
"executionStatus": "NOT_EXECUTED",
"provenanceVerificationScope": "SYNTHETIC_FIXTURE_ONLY",
"eventHash": "7c87885135c89fe070040401e804665459cd900543faadd6d754f9725452227e"
}
]06
This is a research illustration using deterministic synthetic data. It does not measure real people's opinions, public sentiment, or real-world AI actions.
Hypothesis: counting responses that share an origin individually can make support appear independently widespread. We apply the same evaluation stages to fixed synthetic fixtures and compare the units of aggregation.
SUPPORT and OPPOSE within one origin yield MIXED. Missing positions yield MISSING and take precedence. Only abstentions yield ABSTAIN; one decisive position plus abstentions retains that position. Origins in one dependency group are collapsed again into a single group.
Unverified origins are excluded from independent support and force HOLD. Mixed or missing positions, or fewer than three synthetic independence groups, also force HOLD. Otherwise, a strict independent support majority yields ALLOW; all other outcomes, including ties, yield DENY. The three-group minimum includes abstaining groups. This is a local research policy, not a safety guarantee.
07
08
Static HTML, CSS and JSON are generated offline from the existing fixed fixtures and aggregation functions. No model, randomness or real-world data is used. Identical settings produce identical artifacts.
npm test npm run public-demo:typecheck npm run public-demo:build
Synthetic snapshot JSON · Artifact manifest
Research baseline commit: 2df80a8bf46677ce1e00c328c13e72312032707b
Policy SHA-256: 4ae976b44218c0220e8dca6dc3ea7f398666a3d654b2264b3501d08075185e06